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Inflation Prints Hotter Than Expected After Big Fed Rate-Cut
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Inflation Prints Hotter Than Expected After Big Fed Rate-Cut
For the 52nd straight month, core consumer prices rose on a MoM basis in September (+0.3% MoM - hotter than the 0.2% expected) - the strongest since March. That left Core CPI YoY up 3.3%, hotter than the 3.2% expected...
Source: Bloomberg
The headline CPI also printed hotter than expected (+0.2% MoM vs +0.1% MoM exp), with the YoY CPI up 2.4% (hotter than the 2.3% expected but lowest since Feb 2021)...
Source: Bloomberg
Core Services and Food costs surged in September...
Source: Bloomberg
Overall, headline consumer prices are up over 20% (5.1% p.a.) since the Biden-Harris admin took over, which compares to around 8% (1.97% p.a) during Trump's first term...
Source: Bloomberg
The so-called SuperCore CPI also increased on a YoY basis to +4.6%...
Source: Bloomberg
A surge in Transportation Services costs (record high auto insurance) and Medical Care Supplies lifted Super Core...
Source: Bloomberg
The silver lining is that shelter inflation continues to slow...
Source: Bloomberg
BUT... Why is the cost of auto insurance up 56% since Biden and Harris took over?
Source: Bloomberg
Real wages are down since the start of the Biden-Harris administration...
Source: Bloomberg
Finally, we note that money supply is resurgent once again, suggesting The Fed's confidence in CPI's decline may be misplaced...
Source: Bloomberg
Could we really replay the '70s once again?
Source: Bloomberg
Will that really be Powell's legacy? Or will the timing of this resurgence in inflation be perfectly timed to coincide with Trump's election victory... and offer a perfect patsy for who is to blame?
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October 10, 2024 at 08:45AM
October 10, 2024 at 09:10AM
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