The Last Time Bonds Were This 'Cheap' To Stocks, Yields Crashed


The Last Time Bonds Were This 'Cheap' To Stocks, Yields Crashed
With practically every valuation measure indicating stocks are "fully" valued, "over" valued, or "in a freaking bubble," the last respite of the desperate asset-gatherer has been "well, relative to bonds, stocks are still cheap." That is no longer the case... The yield advantage of owning 10Y Treasuries over the S P 500 is now over 60bps (10Y yield at 2.57% and S P divi at 1.97%)... The last time this set of circumstances occurred was in September 2014 - after the taper tantrum sell-off in bonds and was followed by a collapse in the 10Y yield from 2.60% (right where we are now) to 1.60% in the next 5 months (and began with the 10% collapse in stocks at the end of QE3 that Bullard managed to save). Will Yellen catalyze the event next week?

March 9, 2017 at 12:55PM
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